German Finance Minister: The German government is optimistic that European fiscal rules will be properly implemented.Hisense Group layoffs? Insiders: The year-end adjustment is very small. Recently, a number of people claiming to be Hisense employees posted a message on the online platform saying that "Hisense Group is facing large-scale layoffs, with the number of employees reduced from 110,000 to 80,000, and the number of layoffs is as high as 30,000." Another netizen certified as an employee of Hisense Home Appliances said that "the list will be published next week". In this regard, Sina Technology asked Hisense for verification, and the company did not respond as of press time. However, some insiders of Hisense said, "There is indeed internal adjustment, but it is a small proportion for the normal optimization adjustment at the end of the year." (Sina Technology)Caitong Securities: It is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to Chen Xing, the macro chief analyst of Caitong Securities, from the current situation, the economic operation has been generally stable this year, and the key areas of risks have also been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. From the perspective of future deployment, first, the positive attitude is unprecedented. The meeting mentioned that the policy will be more active and promising, and on the basis of counter-cyclical adjustment, it emphasized that the intensity should be "extraordinary" to offset "external shocks". We will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Second, pay more attention to the actual effect of policies, not only to strengthen the forward-looking, targeted and effective regulation at the macro level, but also to promote the effectiveness of landmark reform measures in specific measures. Third, pay more attention to systematicness, emphasize "system integration and coordination", improve the toolbox, lay a good policy "combination boxing" and stabilize expectations.
Artes: The shares to be transferred by this inquiry have been fully subscribed. Artes announced that according to the inquiry and subscription on December 9, 2024, the initial transfer price of this inquiry was 11.88 yuan/share. A total of 38 valid quotations were received for this inquiry transfer, covering professional institutional investors such as fund management companies, insurance companies, qualified foreign investors, securities companies and private fund managers. The total number of shares effectively subscribed by institutional investors participating in this inquiry and transfer quotation is 121 million shares, and the corresponding effective subscription multiple is 2.18 times. The shares to be transferred in this inquiry have been fully subscribed, and it is preliminarily determined that there are 23 transferees, and the total number of shares to be transferred is 55,323,300 shares.Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this is likely to mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened.Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.
Bitcoin hit $98,000/piece, down 3.12% in the day.Ramsden, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England: The Phnom Penh bond market is operating in an orderly manner, but there are also vulnerabilities such as leverage ratio and concentration of hedge funds.Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13